You gotta love, Lou
Pinella.
While Dusty would worry about things like walks clogging up the bases, Lou's smart enough to realize that one of the biggest concerns with this team (even though they have the best record in baseball) is an
overworked pitching staff.
As of Sunday night, four relief pitchers for the Cubs had appeared in 25 games or more:
Carlos
Marmol -- 33 games
Kerry Wood -- 33 games
Bob
Howry -- 30 games
Michael
Wuertz -- 28 games
Only three pitchers have appeared in more games this year than
Marmol and Wood:
1. Luis Ayala -- WAS -- 35 games
1. Will
Ohman --
ATL -- 35 games
3. Blaine Boyer --
ATL -- 34 games
4. Pedro
Feliciano --
NYM -- 33 games
4. Heath Bell -- SD -- 33 games
4. Carlos Marmol -- CHC -- 33 games 4. Kerry Wood -- CHC -- 33 gamesMeanwhile,
Howry's number of appearances puts him around the top 20 in baseball. And
Wuertz's puts him near the top 50.
That's a reason to be concerned, on multiple accounts:
1) Having your relievers pile up that number of appearances means you're running the risk that they'll be tired down the stretch, while is probably the time when they'll need to be sharpest.
I'm not necessarily worried about
Howry or
Wuertz. Both of these guys are veterans of the bullpen and understand how to pace themselves (
Howry, in fact, was at his best down the stretch last year).
But I'm concerned about
Marmol and Wood.
Marmol has never had more than 59 appearances in a year; he'll
eclipse that very soon. And Wood's career has been as a starter; I wonder how he'll handle 70-80 appearances in a season.
2) The number of appearances for those four relievers is an indication that the starting pitchers aren't going very deep into games. Among the starting rotation, here are the statistics for average length of outing (rounded to the nearest third of an inning):
Carlos
Zambrano -- 6 2/3 innings
Ted Lilly -- 5 2/3 innings
Ryan
Dempster -- 6 1/3 innings
Jason Marquis -- 5 2/3 innings
Sean Gallagher -- 5 1/3 innings
So, three of your five starters are lasting fewer than six innings on average. That's troubling. And it's the reason the bullpen is getting so overworked.
Solutions:
* Put more trust in Scott Eyre. His statistics - albeit in a limited role - are worthy (7
IP, 4 H, 1/10 BB/K, 0.00 ERA).
* Find someone among the likes of Neal
Cotts, Kevin Hart, Carmen
Pignatiello, Jose
Ascanio, Sean Marshall, Chad Fox who can eat some innings and provide decent relief. Right now, most of that group hasn't been able to.
* Get Ted Lilly right. I think 5-6 innings is about all we can and should expect from Jason Marquis and Sean Gallagher. But Lilly needs to be a 6+ inning guy. If he can do that, it will ease the burden on the 'pen.
And then Lou can finally something else to be worried about.